Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 358.736883 407.907228 462.895885 529.234900 607.474620 697.274038 808.800385
2025-07-20 295.928318 362.555677 444.235806 552.957165 695.726391 879.437869 1138.050063
2025-07-27 254.269160 326.840873 421.307191 555.638830 745.670473 1011.058536 1421.142452
2025-08-03 219.328779 292.229549 391.519918 540.089317 762.956055 1095.468286 1650.687605
2025-08-10 194.132626 266.489731 368.850941 528.807416 781.275970 1180.655520 1896.169150
2025-08-17 181.506721 256.394602 366.296133 545.509023 843.102582 1342.755250 2306.122906
2025-08-24 166.787222 241.241169 353.892865 544.308091 874.552689 1458.584835 2660.954088
2025-08-31 152.757487 225.489178 338.479951 535.567200 890.820541 1549.191563 2988.966235
2025-09-07 143.064825 215.409416 330.744796 538.282954 927.123006 1682.926610 3442.873176
2025-09-14 131.948986 201.954042 315.984142 526.602000 934.375170 1760.188042 3792.156552
2025-09-21 123.830402 192.638691 307.149893 524.292880 958.980614 1877.386594 4272.101707
2025-09-28 113.225129 178.290670 288.325687 501.161320 938.204108 1892.229175 4495.568631
2025-10-05 110.106734 176.558544 291.683858 521.166251 1011.123447 2136.284015 5435.956251
2025-10-12 107.616193 175.698153 296.517354 544.749900 1096.213690 2430.925701 6656.352844
2025-10-19 102.519187 169.763035 291.384197 547.371722 1134.590116 2618.372544 7627.178374
2025-10-26 95.671872 160.138523 278.439411 532.102163 1128.636611 2687.794242 8228.588689
2025-11-02 89.951296 152.172993 268.007243 521.021985 1131.098390 2781.422905 8966.449529
2025-11-09 87.810096 150.692709 270.053261 537.424622 1204.659390 3098.125623 10751.986196
2025-11-16 83.937844 145.649997 264.567209 536.245253 1232.874026 3286.991819 12120.844580
2025-11-23 79.623347 139.466465 256.270483 527.661003 1240.046197 3412.130176 13283.016507
2025-11-30 76.727507 135.842367 252.932257 530.328146 1278.566342 3651.527001 15172.700678
2025-12-07 72.735240 129.807392 244.099675 518.855901 1275.418500 3748.233308 16391.035166
2025-12-14 69.842625 125.786419 239.235301 516.587925 1298.761431 3947.116203 18347.995090